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Latest Gulf weather outlook: Denis Phillips on possible development

Tropical Outlook 10-5
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Tampa Bay 28 Chief Meteorologist Denis Phillips shares his latest thoughts on potential development in the Gulf and what to expect:

  • Area highlighted now has a "high' chance of development. Of course, it's not even there yet. (So there's that).
  • Nothing surprising here. We've been talking about this for weeks. Solid chance we have a depression or even "Isaias" by the weekend.
  • Most models keep a weak, ragged rainmaker impacting the Northern Gulf Coast early next week. (Rain with a name)
  • A few, including the Google Deep Earth make it stronger in the latest runs. Until we actually have a system to track, models will be all over the place.
  • Helene and Milton were devastating. Let's be clear. This is NOT them. Ingredients are VERY different with this potential system.
  • I will rarely "write off" a storm anytime it's in the Gulf..and I won't do it here either. But I won't hype anything either just to get traffic. Nothing is more despicable than trying to profit off fear.
  • #7 is obviously Rule #7. Nothing to freak out about. Odds are very high this develops, probably gets a name, and moves North as a significant rainmaker for the Northern Gulf Coast late this weekend or early next week. At this point, the threat for direct impacts on Central Florida is low. (Although not zero)
  • Until then, we will update 24/7. Not to stress you out. We update to keep you informed and answer any questions you might have.
  • Too early for flight, Disney and Pet Armadillo walking questions. And yet, I know they're already in my DM box.

Here is the latest Tropics update from the Tampa Bay 28 meteorologist Ally Blake:

Tracking the Tropics | Oct. 5, morning update

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